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2026-06-17 2026-06-16 2026-06-15 2026-06-12 2026-06-11 2026-06-10 2026-06-09
Universe
1003
Past FA gate
40
Setups forming
6 (3 short)
Tournament candidates
80
With survivors
0
Tickets
0
1. NVDA Nvidia · Information Technology favorable
final 0.79 · FA 0.78 · setup 0.84 · LLM 7.0/10
ma_pullback (score 0.84) — trigger 213.09 · stop 195.47
sma50=208 · sma200=189 · leg_gain=0.427 · pullback_from_high=-0.119 · rsi=46.7 · volume_ratio_10d=0.972
LLM brief

NVDA exhibits a bullish moving-average pullback setup (0.84 confidence) with RSI at 46.66 suggesting oversold conditions and a 42.7% prior leg gain, positioning for a 2-week-to-6-month swing trade recovery. The stock trades near SMA50 (208.09) with FA score in the 78th percentile, and recent Q1 FY2027 earnings (filed 5/20/26) provide a fresh catalyst, though the 8-K and 10-Q filings lack substantive operational commentary to confirm momentum.

Catalysts
  • Q1 FY2027 earnings announcement (May 20, 2026) with CFO commentary on results and forward guidance
  • Continued AI demand tailwinds: NVDA featured prominently in 'MANGOS' ETF trend narrative (June 17)
  • Technical oversold recovery: RSI at 46.66 with 11.9% pullback from recent highs suggests mean reversion
  • SMA50/SMA200 bullish structure: stock above 200-day moving average (189.33), supporting longer-term uptrend
Risks
  • Sector cyclicality concerns: Micron article (June 17) warns chip stocks may be at cyclical peak despite AI tailwinds
  • Valuation risk in rate environment: New Fed Chair Warsh signaling policy shift; rising rates could pressure tech multiples
  • Macro headwinds: Inflation concerns persist despite Wall Street's AI focus (Yahoo Finance, June 17)
  • Limited earnings visibility: 8-K and 10-Q filings contain boilerplate only; no substantive forward guidance or margin commentary provided
  • Volume weakness: 10-day volume ratio of 0.97 indicates below-average conviction on pullback
2. EWBC East West Bancorp · Financials favorable
final 0.72 · FA 0.66 · setup 0.80 · LLM 6.5/10
base_breakout (score 0.80) — trigger 130.42 · stop 123.61
pct_off_52w_high=-0.000233 · range_tightness=0.12 · volume_ratio_10d=0.751 · base_high=130 · base_low=115 · atr=2.51
LLM brief

EWBC is at a base breakout with stock near 52-week highs and tight range consolidation, supported by positive momentum narrative and regional bank sector strength. However, the setup lacks concurrent fundamental catalysts—the FA score (65th percentile) is mediocre, and the most recent earnings data is from Q1 2026 with no forward guidance visible in the filings.

Catalysts
  • Financial sector rally and regional bank momentum (KRE ETF strength noted 2026-06-15)
  • Breakout above 130.42 resistance level with high quality base formation
  • Potential dividend attraction and high-growth narrative highlighted in recent coverage
  • Steady board composition and corporate governance (annual meeting completed 2026-05-18 with no material dissent)
Risks
  • Banking sector exposure to economic slowdown and credit deterioration concerns per industry commentary (2026-05-25)
  • Regional bank sentiment muted despite solid fundamentals; sector has trailed S&P 500 by 250bps over 6 months
  • No recent earnings release or forward guidance visible; Q1 10-Q filed 2026-05-08 but MD&A content not substantive in excerpt
  • Volume ratio 10-day at 0.75x suggests light accumulation on setup—below-average relative volume
  • Stop loss at 123.61 leaves only ~5.3% cushion from breakout trigger, tight risk/reward for swing trade
3. SSB SouthState Corporation · Financials neutral
final 0.67 · FA 0.81 · setup 0.63 · LLM 5.0/10
base_breakout (score 0.63) — trigger 100.18 · stop 91.48
pct_off_52w_high=-0.106 · range_tightness=0.0944 · volume_ratio_10d=0.93 · base_high=100 · base_low=91.1 · atr=2.19
LLM brief

SSB exhibits a base breakout setup with tight consolidation and strong FA percentile (81st), supported by Q1 organic growth momentum in loans and fee income. However, recent Q1 earnings reveal revenue miss, NIM pressure from deposit costs, and post-earnings weakness (3.7% decline, 5.3% weekly retreat), creating conflicting signals about near-term momentum sustainability for a swing-trade entry.

Catalysts
  • Continued loan growth and fee income expansion driving organic revenue if deposit cost pressures stabilize
  • Active share repurchase program providing technical support
  • Strong profitability maintained (EPS beat +3% in Q1 2026)
  • Potential stabilization of NIM if deposit rate environment moderates
Risks
  • NIM compression from elevated deposit costs remains unresolved headwind
  • Revenue growth deceleration (3.3% YoY in Q1) signals slowing momentum
  • Stock underperformance vs. S&P 500 since Dec 2025 (1.9% vs 8.4%) indicates sector/company-specific weakness
  • Base breakout setup at $100.18 occurred on 2026-06-17, but stock was trading near $95–$98 in early June, suggesting false breakout risk if trigger is not decisively cleared
  • Mixed sentiment in recent coverage; multiple sources question whether gains are already priced in
4. NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary short favorable earnings soon
final 0.62 · FA 0.28 · setup 0.85 · LLM 7.0/10
ma_rally_fade (score 0.85) — trigger 44.17 · stop 46.29
sma50=43.9 · sma200=58.5 · leg_drop=0.364 · rally_from_low=0.0824 · rsi=52.6 · volume_ratio_10d=0.813
LLM brief

Nike faces fundamental headwinds that support a short thesis: the stock is down 66% over five years, the company has a documented 'relevance problem,' and recent Q3 FY26 DTC sales declined despite wholesale gains. While the company has near-term catalysts (World Cup marketing, store refreshes), the technical setup shows a weakening rally (50-SMA well below 200-SMA, RSI neutral at ~53, modest volume) and the FA cross-sectional score of 0.28 indicates materially below-peer fundamentals.

Catalysts
  • World Cup marketing campaign and expanded retail displays (June 2026) — binary outcome; if execution stumbles, accelerates downside
  • Q4 FY26 earnings report and holiday season DTC performance — could reveal whether relevance issues persist
  • Wholesale channel partner momentum stabilization or deterioration
  • Potential guidance revision if turnaround efforts stall
Risks
  • World Cup visibility and new football boots/federation shirts could reignite brand appeal faster than consensus expects, triggering short squeeze above stop level
  • Competitor (Steven Madden/SHOO) momentum may be inflated by temporary tailwinds; NKE's iconic status could reassert in Q4 2026 holiday season
  • DTC transformation may show inflection in coming quarters, reversing recent declines and validating long-term thesis
  • Retail investor sentiment on 'turnaround at a discount' (Motley Fool, Barchart) could spark tactical rallies that trap shorts
  • Strong footwear demand signals (Knicks gear, Soccer.com +41% footwear sales) may benefit NKE more than current pricing reflects
5. HD Home Depot (The) · Consumer Discretionary short neutral
final 0.59 · FA 0.33 · setup 0.84 · LLM 5.0/10
ma_rally_fade (score 0.84) — trigger 309.20 · stop 331.63
sma50=320 · sma200=356 · leg_drop=0.234 · rally_from_low=0.0863 · rsi=64.1 · volume_ratio_10d=1.03
LLM brief

Home Depot faces headwinds from consumer uncertainty and housing affordability pressures, with Q1 showing only stabilization rather than growth acceleration. However, the Pro-focused pivot through acquisitions and positive comparable sales signal underlying resilience that may limit downside, and the technical setup shows a rally fade at elevated RSI (64) after only an 8.6% recovery, which is constructive for a short entry but lacks strong fundamental deterioration to support conviction.

Catalysts
  • Housing market weakness or further affordability pressure surprises
  • Discretionary demand slowdown in Q2/Q3 earnings
  • Failed Pro segment ramp or integration issues with SRS/specialty distributor acquisitions
  • Macroeconomic contraction reducing home improvement activity
  • Margin pressure from supply chain or promotional intensity
  • Dividend sustainability question if cash generation slows
Risks
  • Pro pivot and specialty distributor acquisitions show genuine diversification and margin upside potential
  • Positive comparable sales and digital growth signal stabilization, not collapse
  • CEO commentary suggests underlying demand 'relatively similar' to FY2025, implying no sharp deterioration
  • Stock already down 7.9% over 6 months; much of pessimism may be priced in
  • Dividend aristocrat status and shareholder-friendly charter amendments may support valuation floor
  • Rally from technical low only 8.6%, leaving substantial room for squeeze or reversal
6. OGE OGE Energy · Utilities short neutral
final 0.42 · FA 0.35 · setup 0.44 · LLM 5.0/10
base_breakdown (score 0.44) — trigger 45.62 · stop 49.16
pct_off_52w_low=0.145 · range_tightness=0.0741 · volume_ratio_10d=0.951 · base_high=49.2 · base_low=45.6 · atr=0.899
LLM brief

OGE faces near-term earnings headwinds (Q1 2026 miss driven by mild weather and elevated maintenance costs) and regulatory uncertainty following a legal setback on billing language, undermining a near-term short thesis. However, long-term growth catalysts (Google data center deal, renewable expansion, grid upgrades) and stable credit facilities support the utility's fundamental resilience, limiting downside momentum.

Catalysts
  • Google data center power supply agreement requiring regulatory approval—if approved, signals multi-year revenue visibility and justifies upside re-rating
  • Regulatory resolution of OG&E's First Amendment challenge at Oklahoma Supreme Court level—adverse ruling could constrain operational flexibility; favorable ruling reduces regulatory risk
  • Q2 2026 earnings and full-year guidance update to gauge whether Q1 miss was seasonal or structural
  • Data center demand acceleration in OGE's service territory driving near-term load growth and capex requirements
Risks
  • Q1 earnings miss ($0.24 vs. prior year $0.31) driven by mild weather and elevated maintenance costs—suggests earnings volatility and potential guidance misses
  • Regulatory legal setback on billing language dispute dismissed on jurisdictional grounds; escalation to Oklahoma Supreme Court introduces prolonged uncertainty
  • Mild weather headwinds in Q1 indicate exposure to temperature normalization risk, which could weigh on near-term results if weather patterns persist
  • Google data center deal contingent on regulatory approval; delays or denials would eliminate expected revenue upside
  • Utility sector valuation compression risk if interest rates rise further, pressuring dividend-yielding equities

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